UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Southern Illin
  
Southern Illinois     
W-L: ( 3- 7) PR = 89.0717

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 5- 2 207 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 7- 6 211 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 1- 3 212 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 10- 9 220 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 4- 5 221 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 0- 1 221 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 3- 7 222 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 0- 9 227 H Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 2-12 228 A Purdue B10 (36-17, 94.5) 0-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Charlotte               5- 2       3    -2    ++     5.49
   207 A Charlotte               7- 6       1    -4    ++     4.97
   211 A UTSA                    1- 3      -2    -2           0.02
   212 H UTSA                   10- 9       1    -1           1.54
   220 H Missouri State          4- 5      -1    -1          -0.02
   221 A UAB                     3- 7      -4    -3          -0.86
   222 H Tennessee               0- 9      -9    -7          -1.90
   227 H Purdue                  2-12     -10    -5    --    -5.36
   228 A Purdue                  0-10     -10    -6    -     -3.88

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Purdue                  2-12     -10    -5    --    -5.36
   228 A Purdue                  0-10     -10    -6    -     -3.88

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Charlotte               5- 2       3    -2    ++     5.49
   207 A Charlotte               7- 6       1    -4    ++     4.97

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Charlotte       (29-27, 92.3)     5- 2       -7.60      11.77      -0.74         2.52            55.59
   3 A Charlotte       (29-27, 92.3)     7- 6       -7.60      11.77       0.74         2.52            63.07
   3 A UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)     1- 3       -9.55       9.82       0.74         2.52           -11.10
   3 H UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)    10- 9       -9.55       9.82      -0.74         2.52            45.77
   3 H Missouri State  (20-30, 90.8)     4- 5       -9.10      10.27      -0.74         2.52           -12.41
   3 A Ole Miss        (35-26, 95.3)     0- 1       -4.60      14.77       0.74         2.52            -4.86
   3 A UAB             (21-32, 91.5)     3- 7       -8.43      10.94       0.74         2.52            -9.69
   3 H Tennessee       (45-15, 96.9)     0- 9       -2.99      16.38      -0.74         2.52            -4.70
   3 H Purdue          (36-17, 94.5)     2-12       -5.45      13.92      -0.74         2.52            -7.80
   3 A Purdue          (36-17, 94.5)     0-10       -5.45      13.92       0.74         2.52            -5.93
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       107.95

winning pts = 164.4370 losing points = -56.4881

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------